Risk Assessment

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A Validation and Comparative Evaluation of Four Predictive Devices for Classifying Federal Probation Caseloads — A Report to the Committee of the Judicial Conference of the United States on the Administration of the Probation System

James B. Eaglin, Patricia A. Lombard

January 1, 1982

An evaluation of the comparative validity of four risk prediction scales used for classifying federal probation caseloads. The authors found the U.S.D.C. 75 Scale to have the best balance of validity and predictive power, and they recommend that it be used by all U.S. probation officers.

Federal Judicial Center

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Risk Assessment

A Validation and Comparative Evaluation of Four Predictive Devices for Classifying Federal Probation Caseloads — A Report to the Committee of the Judicial Conference of the United States on the Administration of the Probation System